Simulation tools for optimal productive dies of Ecuador

Abstract

The Ecuadorian government headed by Eco. Rafael Correa promotes changing the production model as a state policy to overcome the primary economic model. 14 priority sectors and five strategic industries to model change. The matrix proposed by the government is not based on quantitative methods to calculate and interpret the interdependencies of the various sectors of the economy; but on subjective judgments related to possible market potential. The study includes an analysis of the perception of the productive sectors of the province of Tungurahua regarding the prioritization proposed by the government and the development of integrated in the “Simulator input-output matrix” used to calculate the economic impact of IT tools each branch of the industry Classification System North 2013 (NAICS) America in the overall economy, the industry itself in other branches affected; and assess the various options for optimal matrices applying the Leontief. (Nobel Prize 2016). Existing information is collected on government databases and the analysis criteria that allow process information with mathematical algorithms linking tools are established. Finally he is able to project the impact of the results in terms of production, wages and jobs, induced by changes in any of the components of final demand. The study is a priority because it provides a strategic vision for decision-making in public and private investment in Ecuador quantitative techniques supported by tools.