Verification of the Prebish-Singer hypothesis for Nicaragua 2006-2023
Keywords:
Prebish-Singer, economic development, productive structuresAbstract
This study examines the validity of the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis in the Nicaraguan context over the 2006–2023 period. Using econometric models such as multiple regression, partial adjustment, and ARL models, the study evaluates the relationship between export and import prices, real exchange rates, and the GDP. Unlike previous research focused on Latin America as a whole, this investigation provides country-specific empirical evidence for Nicaragua, a nation heavily reliant on primary exports and marked by a chronic trade balance deficit. The findings offer critical insights for the formulation of trade policies aimed at reducing Nicaragua’s historical disadvantages in international trade and propose new avenues of research for economies with similar productive structures.
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References
BCN. (2006-2024). BCN. Obtenido de https://www.bcn.gob.ni/estadisticas/exportaciones?field_fecha_value%5Bvalue%5D%5Byear%5D=2024
BCN. (2023). INFORME ANUAL. Obtenido de https://www.bcn.gob.ni/sites/default/files/documentos/Informe%20Anual%202023.pdf
Engle, R. F. (Marzo de 1987). Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing.ECONOMETRICA, 251-276. Obtenido de www.jstor.org/stable/1913236?seq=1&cid=pdf-reference#references_tab_contents
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